Working Class Squeezed By Economic Reality
Will 2024’s economic drama become a tragedy for Democrats in November?
“The Working Class-Sized Hole in Democratic Support Widens,” warned Ruy Teixeira for the Liberal Patriot this week.
“This is a big, big problem,” began Teixeira in dire accusation, not for the first time.
“Here is a simple truth: how working-class (noncollege) voters move will likely determine the outcome of the 2024 election,” Teixeira advised back in January. “They will be the overwhelming majority of eligible voters (around two-thirds) and, even allowing for turnout patterns, only slightly less dominant among actual voters (around three-fifths). Moreover, in all six key swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the working-class share of the electorate, both as eligible voters and as projected 2024 voters, will be higher than the national average.”
“It follows that significant deterioration in working-class support could put Biden in a very deep hole nationally and in key states,” he added. “Conversely, a burgeoning advantage among working-class voters would likely put Trump in a dominant position. This very trend explains a lot about Biden’s current poor position in general election polls, where he is running behind Trump both nationally and in most swing states.”