Spoiler Alert: RFK Jr
“RFK Jr. Voters Span MAGA to Liberal — Making Them an Election Wildcard,” as Eliza Collins put it for the WSJ last week.
“RFK Jr. Voters Span MAGA to Liberal — Making Them an Election Wildcard,” Eliza Collins wrote for the Wall Street Journal last week. “In Arizona, the independent’s candidacy could change whether Trump or Biden wins.”
“The problem for both Trump and Biden: It isn’t exactly clear who Kennedy hurts more, largely because of his eclectic mix of supporters,” mused Collins. “Most polls of swing states and national surveys show Kennedy pulls slightly more support from Trump, but here in Arizona, a recent Wall Street Journal poll found he snapped up voters equally from both candidates.”
While some political analysts and media outlets have been eager to dismiss Kennedy’s campaign, others seem a bit more nervous.
“Why a Late RFK Jr. Polling Boom Is Unlikely,” theorized Ed Kilgore for the New Yorker on Saturday.
“It stands to reason that campaigns like these, which show some promise but not enough to make their candidate a realistic prospect for victory, will lose altitude as Election Day approaches and voters start worrying about ‘wasting their votes,’” Kilgore predicted confidently. “A lot of observers expect the Kennedy–Nicole Shanahan ticket to lose support as it becomes obvious it’s likely to…