Pollsters Lost Big in Virginia and New Jersey

Dr. Munr Kazmir
6 min readNov 5, 2021

Republicans cleaned up during Tuesday’s election and no one saw it coming. Why?

Former Governor of Virginia Terry McAuliffe. (Photo: Terry McAuliffe)

Since long before 2016, when the utterly unforeseen election of Donald Trump shook news pundits on three continents, polling was starting to go awry.

The equally-surprising passing of Brexit in the U.K. should have tipped U.S. pollsters gearing up for the 2016 presidential election…

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