Is the Chinese Communist Party Inching Closer to Taiwan?

Dr. Munr Kazmir
4 min readJan 27, 2023

With so much trouble at home, the CCP is under more pressure than ever.

Photo by Nk Ni on Unsplash.

U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken will travel to the Middle East over the coming weekend amid mounting tensions between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.

“Tensions between Israelis and Palestinians have soared since Israel launched the nightly raids in the West Bank last spring, following a spate of Palestinian attacks,” wrote Matthew Lee for the Associated Press yesterday. “The conflict has only intensified this month, as Netanyahu’s government came to office and pledged to take a hard line against the Palestinians.”

Besides violating its own stylebook’s new guidelines, and being overly broad in its description of “the Palestinians,” the Associated Press should consider a second hotspot of escalating conflict.

The South China Sea.

The Chinese Communist Party seems to be a bit cowed at the moment after its failure to achieve zero Covid coincided with a failure to prevent massive, widespread protests over its draconian lock-down policies.

Does the CCP’s new would-be softened tone extend to Taiwan?

Many world leaders, press organizations, and foreign policy experts aren’t convinced.

Will the U.S. Really Defend Taiwan?” asked Seth Cropsey for the Wall Street Journal on January 26, 2023, echoing a common, if troubling, question. In the opinion of Cropsey and plenty of others, “Washington is strategically unprepared for a crisis and Biden’s policies are hampering deterrence.”

Besides his contradictory and sometimes incendiary foreign policy gaffes, “The Biden administration’s approach to military investments is also sending China mixed signals,” frets Cropsey.

While Taiwan is trying a radical new strategy to keep the Chinese Communist Party at bay, Taiwan’s president said last week that war between Taiwan and China is, “not an option.”

“Armed confrontation is absolutely not an option,” Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen wrote in a letter to Pope Francis. “Only by respecting the commitment of the Taiwanese people to our sovereignty democracy and freedom can there be a foundation for resuming…