And it isn’t looking too good.
The U.S. is one year out from Election Day 2020.
Anyone thinking the Democratic field was set were surprised today by the news that Former Mayor of New York Michael Bloomberg is preparing a run. Former Attorney General Eric Holder is also reportedly considering a run.
There have, of course, also been rumors of a Hillary Clinton return for an epic grudge-match against Donald Trump.
Prominent Democrats and wealthy Democratic donors have been calling for weeks, and in some cases months, for a different candidate to enter the race. Democrats from cocktail parties to PTA meetings have been asking each other the same question:
Democratic analysts, professional and amateur, fear that none the current crop of candidates can compete with Donald Trump or unite the ideologically fractured Democratic Party.
Considering the lackluster field of Democratic candidates for president, each with their own unique set of weak advantages and relative drawbacks, combined with teetering frontrunner Joe Biden, it is hard to blame them.
The recent lurches to the far left to appease a small but vocal minority of mostly white, progressive liberals, have deeply frightened the Democratic leadership establishment. Massive, wildly expensive upheavals like the Green New Deal and Medicare for All have spooked the tax-paying electorate so badly, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw caution to the wind recently and warned her fellow Democrats, in no uncertain terms, that the far leftist ideas that excite the deep blue Democratic base will not, she repeats, will not help Democrats win crucial swing districts in 2020.
It is perhaps a good thing that Democrats are reading the writing on the wall and ignoring the deeply flawed polls that swear seven ways from Sunday that a Democratic ham sandwich would win in 2020 against Donald Trump.
These are the same polls, and pollsters, who never gave Donald Trump more than a 15% chance at winning in 2016. The Washington Post put his chances at winning the presidency at zero; NYT, at 5%.
What prominent Democrats like Bloomberg, Pelosi and Holder are saying to their base by entering the race at this late stage or by cautioning their colleagues against the current left-ward trends is that Democrats will face Donald Trump in 2020.
Reading between the lines, they are saying and doing these things because they know, though perhaps they should tell Rep. Jerry Nadler and the dreamers over at MSNBC, that the Senate will not vote to impeach Donald Trump. Not based on anything House Democrats have produced so far.
Trump will not be removed from office. He might even win in 2020.
Experienced Democrats like Bloomberg and Holder are smart. If impeachment fails, which it will, Democrats will have to face Donald Trump in the election. They will be running against the strong economy and a president who will claim anything less than his removal from office as a victory.
Which it will be easily couched as, just as the disastrous Mueller Report was.
Because no matter what is contained in the fine print of the Mueller Report, which the average person will never read, nothing proved against Trump rose to the level of removing him from office. Outside of journalists, political analysts, extremely deep-blue Democrats and people paid to care, no one remembers anything but that Democrats took a big, expensive shot at the president and missed.
The Ukraine will miss, too.
If Democrats had faith in the current House proceedings, Bloomberg and Holder wouldn’t bother joining the race, two Democratic donors wouldn’t have put up $75 million this week to help Democrats close the digital gap between themselves and the Trump campaign, Democrats wouldn’t be working so hard to remove Trump’s social media reach.
But all that is the least of the Democratic Party’s problems. Donald Trump, contrary to popular belief, is not the most dangerous threat to the Democratic Party.
The biggest threat to the Democratic Party and its chances in the next big election is…Democrats themselves.
In what should be a walk-on year for any Democrat, the party has been floundering in Donald Trump’s wake for over three years. From Twitter outrages, to the Mueller investigation, every missile fired at the prow of the Trump administration has failed to sink that battleship.
Worse, these unceasing Democratic attacks have solidified Republican support around Donald Trump.
That Republicans voted unanimously against impeachment should give anyone a pause. That almost never happens. There is always a scab, there is always someone who breaks ranks for the same reason that someone always breaks ranks in a strike: The cost of striking is higher than the cost of breaking rank.
Just ask Nancy Pelosi. Her caucus full of Democrats only seems to agree on one thing: Donald Trump is the very devil. Yet two Democrats broke rank and voted with Republicans against impeachment.
And speaking of dissension in the ranks, Democrat on Democrat crime is running rampant in the party. Democratic accusations of racism have been leveled at everyone from House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and former Vice President Joe Biden to the “four white front-runners” currently running for the Democratic nomination for president.
Congressional Democrats have taken grievances against their Democratic colleagues to Twitter, even accused them publicly of taking bribes, triggering a stern rebuke from party leadership.
Meanwhile, the Trump campaign continues their ruthless digital assault on the electorate, including the strategic wooing of certain demographics vital to Democratic success. It is working: Trump has been steadily gaining with nonwhites over the past three years.
Though liberal-leaning media heads are at a loss to explain this strange phenomenon, that Trump is presiding over a booming economy which has provided historic gains for African-American and Latino voters is the most likely culprit behind this trend.
Liberal progressives are busily overestimating Democratic gains in 2018 and in this weeks elections in Virginia and Kentucky and ignoring warning flashes from huge swaths of the Democratic voting block, like unions and the working class, that have typically been firmly behind Democrats.
The mainstream media consensus is that the walls are, once again, closing in on Donald Trump.
Judging by the behavior of prominent Democrats, you certainly can’t tell.
(contributing writer, Brooke Bell)