As Goes Istanbul, So Goes Turkey?

Why the stunning upset victory of Ekrem Imamoglu in the Istanbul Mayoral race may spell disaster for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

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Press Conference — President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. December 2018. (photo: G20 Argentina)

A Stinging Upset

As is becoming increasingly clear in political races all around the world, polls in 2019 are about as reliable as four-year weather forecasts.

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Campaign posters for Binali Yıldırım and Ekrem İmamoğlu. (photo: VOA)
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Ekrem İmamoğlu, Mayor of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality, during a press conference. April 7, 2019. (photo: VOA)

“Whoever wins Istanbul, wins Turkey.” — President Erdogan

President Erdogan himself served as the Mayor of Istanbul in the 1990's.

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