Are Blue-District House Democrats Making for Higher Ground?

Supporting impeachment may be a calculated effort by house Democrats to stave off serious primary challenges from the left.

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President Donald J. Trump talks to members of the press on the South Lawn of the White House Friday, October 4, 2019, prior to boarding Marine One en route the Walter Reed Emergency Landing Zone in Bethesda, Md. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

Impeachment

As news pundits from all over the political spectrum openly wonder if Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has an end game in mind, and incensed district constituents get confrontational at town halls across the country, House Democrats are not backing down from impeachment.

It isn’t hard to see why Democrats are anxious to get rid of Trump using any means necessary.

But Trump may have just tricked them into taking out their front runner. And he has now undermined their reelection chances in moderate districts and swing states by pushing Democrats to move on impeachment.

Democrats have another reason to go all in against Trump now: On the cusp of the latest round of accusations of wrongdoing against this particular president, comes the news that the economy is still looking rosy.

Worse for Democrats hoping to defeat Donald Trump in the polls next November, crucial portions of the Democratic voting population, like Hispanics and African-Americans are benefitting financially at historic levels under the Trump administration.

Recent wage gains have benefitted the lowest wage earners most.

The news that Trump’s approval rating has actually improved in spite of the drubbing he’s taken over Ukraine isn’t great for Democrats either. Wall Street seems more optimistic about a trade breakthrough with China than nervous about articles of impeachment against a sitting president.

As divided as the U.S. currently is over politics, almost everyone agrees that the Senate will never vote to remove Donald Trump from office.

Is this “impeachment inquiry” just a political gambit gone awry?

It is tempting to view this empty impeachment posturing as a subtle and brilliant strategy by House Democrats from deep-blue districts facing serious primary challenges from the left.

The Justice Democrats, of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez fame, are mounting a series of serious primary challenges in very blue states like New York. Recruiting younger, more progressive activists to run for congress and giving them serious financial backing is a formula that worked in 2018.

Some House Democrats, veteran incumbents who otherwise might view themselves as moderates, may be concerned about it working again.

By coming out strong for impeachment, Democrats can easily appease their very progressive voting base, stave off a primary challenge from a more anti-Trump Democrat, and ensure their re-election.

One problem: Blue-District Democrats might be returning to the House minority.

Moderate Democrats from purple districts are in serious trouble. Most were already facing a tough re-election climb in a robust economy, against a sitting incumbent who wasn’t on the ticket the last time they ran.

Many Democrats from swing districts only won by a tiny margin in 2018. With Trump’s voter base likely to turn out strong in 2020, they are rightly afraid of being unseated.

Not making moderate Democrats from swing districts any more comfortable in their delicate balancing act, is the unwelcome news that the Trump campaign has turned into a cash machine juggernaut.

One that has been rolling into high gear since the moment Pelosi said the word “impeachment” to the tune of $125 million dollars in the last quarter.

Which is $100 million more than Sen. Elizabeth Warren raised.

All this means that Trump isn’t likely going anywhere, at least not anytime soon. Moderate House Democrats however, may have been catastrophically undermined by Ukraine.

(contributing writer, Brooke Bell)

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